FOI, the Swedish Defence Research Agency, has published a new paper “Bursting the Bubble? Russian A2/AD in the Baltic Sea Region: Capabilities, Countermeasures, and Implications.”
Mil.ru [CC BY 4.0], via Wikimedia Commons
The FOI concluded in its report that Russia’s A2/AD capabilities “do not create any large, impenetrable bubble.”
The authors added that “analyzis of air operations over Syria likewise suggest that even late-model Russian manufactured air defence systems can be vulnerable to a range of countermeasures.” They cite Israel’s air strikes in Syria while under the threat of modern Russian air defense missile systems as an example.
The report also question the effectiveness of the S-400 air defense missile system’s 40N6 missile interceptor. Russia has not demonstrate that it has Cooperative Engagement Capability that is necessary for the 40N6 to hit its target at the maximum range of 400km.