In an article for the Space Review, Carlos Alatorre delves into China’s recent advancements in space capabilities, particularly focusing on its deployment of a reusable autonomous spaceplane named Shenlong. The article raises critical questions about China’s potential to establish co-orbital antisatellite (ASAT) platforms and whether there is evidence of China’s intention to do so.
The author begins by highlighting China’s successful launch and mission of the Shenlong spaceplane, which spent 276 days in orbit and released an object that conducted coordinated maneuvers with the spaceplane. These developments have raised concerns about China’s capabilities in space technology and its potential to establish co-orbital ASAT platforms.
To address the first key question, “Does China have the technological capability to establish a co-orbital ASAT platform?” the author provides several pieces of evidence. They point to China’s previous ASAT tests, including the docking of the Shijian-21 satellite with a malfunctioning Beidou satellite and the use of RPOs (rendezvous and proximity operations) between Shenlong and the released object. These actions demonstrate China’s technological capability to adjust orbits and conduct maneuvers necessary for co-orbital ASAT operations.
To tackle the second key question, “Is there evidence to suggest China has the intention to do so?” the author examines China’s space program and its strategic objectives. They emphasize that China views space as a military domain and aims to become a major space power. The PLA (People’s Liberation Army) openly expresses its intent to control the space domain and potentially deny access to perceived adversaries. The author also highlights China’s interest in establishing co-orbital ASAT infrastructure, possibly for future tests, in response to perceived competition with the US in space capabilities.
Overall, the article presents a detailed analysis of China’s recent space developments, the potential for co-orbital ASAT platforms, and the strategic implications of these actions. By examining China’s technological capabilities and intentions, the author provides valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of space competition on the global stage.
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